Flexible remote contract estimating probabilities for real-world events and explaining the reasoning to help AI reason under uncertainty. Suits people who follow current affairs closely and think in likelihoods.
Sobre a vaga
Prediction Market Expert (AI Research)
About the Role
We're looking for sharp, analytically minded individuals to join a remote AI research project focused on structured forecasting and probability analysis. Your expertise in evaluating real-world events will directly help train and improve AI models that reason about uncertainty.
If you follow geopolitics, financial markets, elections, sports, or major world events — and you think in probabilities — this role was made for you.
- Type : Hourly Contract
- Location : Fully Remote
- Commitment : Flexible hours, work on your own schedule
- Commitment : Flexible hours, work on your own schedule
- Assess and forecast the outcomes of real-world, industry, and market events
- Assign well-reasoned probability estimates grounded in current events and public information
- Articulate your reasoning clearly and concisely in structured annotation formats
- Review and evaluate prediction-related data for accuracy and consistency
- Interpret rapidly evolving news cycles and intelligence signals
- Maintain high annotation quality across a range of forecasting tasks
- Maintain high annotation quality across a range of forecasting tasks
- Strong probabilistic thinker — you naturally reason in likelihoods, not just certainties
- Up-to-date on current events, market trends, or geopolitical developments
- Able to articulate your reasoning clearly in writing
- Detail-oriented and consistent in your analytical approach
- Familiar with prediction markets (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi, Metaculus) — a plus, but not required
- Self-motivated and comfortable working independently in a remote environment
- Self-motivated and comfortable working independently in a remote environment
- Background in finance, economics, political science, statistics, or journalism
- Experience participating in forecasting tournaments or prediction platforms
- Familiarity with Bayesian reasoning or structured analytic techniques
- Familiarity with Bayesian reasoning or structured analytic techniques
- Work on cutting-edge AI research with real-world impact
- Fully remote and flexible — work when it suits you
- Freelance autonomy with the opportunity for ongoing contract work
- Contribute your unique analytical perspective to advance AI reasoning capabilities
- Join a global community of domain experts shaping the future of AI
Fonte oficial: alignerr.com. Os detalhes podem mudar; vale o que diz a página da plataforma.Algo errado com esta vaga? Avise a gente.
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